CRE | Weekly update (vol. 7)
Interest rates remain relatively stable as economy progresses. While interest rates have moved up from recent lows, the ten year treasury sits near or below 3% and has appeared to stabilize after the initial moves in early 2018. If this persists, it is great news for commercial real estate, as it means lower borrowing rates and less pressure on cap rates to rise. Multifamily rents continue to grow in May, but at a slower annual rate. The Yardi Matrix report showed national mu
CRE | Weekly update (vol. 6)
First estimate of quarterly GDP reported at 2.3% slight slowdown but still robust. The BEA released its first estimate of 1st quarter GDP at 2.3%. This is below the prior quarters 2.9% reading, but still showing steady growth. Private Inventory Investments accelerated this reading which represents growth stronger than what was seen in recent years, on average. Many economists suspect that future revisions may reveal the economy grew even faster than 2.3% Multifamily rents con
CRE | Weekly update (vol. 5)
CMBS delinquency falls to lowest rate in two years improvement trend begins once more. The overall CMBS delinquency, according to the TRepp, Inc. rate fell 19 basis points to 4.36% A rate that almost matches post recession lows of 2016. The post Great Recession discipline showed by lenders and imposed by regulators is now paying the dividend of very stable property markets with manageable or low rates of supply. This should protect CRE markets, even if a recession were to occ
CRE | Weekly update (vol. 4)
Cap rate analysis: increases in treasuries need not cause cap rate increases. Real Capital Analytics presented an analysis that showed that the spread or difference between average cap rates and the ten year treasury yield does not always move together. In fact, it can vary greatly. Commercial real estate, unlike fixed income bonds, has the capacity to increase income overtime and the potential for real appreciation. Thus, the compensating factors can sometimes overpower diff
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